Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSF vs LAR · Week 1
WRIR25 yrsFlorida9 games of history
Projection
10.8
Floor
5.0
Ceiling
19.5
Edge vs market
+3.2
Confidence
80%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.5%
Spike rate
6%
Leverage
1.86×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs CHI | 81% | 8 | 24% | 0 | 85 | 0 | 1.15 | 13.5 |
| 15 | vs TEN | 58% | 7 | 25% | 0 | 96 | 0 | 1.26 | 15.6 |
| 13 | @ CLE | 87% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 14 | 0 | -0.12 | 3.4 |
| 12 | vs CAR | 76% | 4 | 13% | 1 | 8 | 0 | -1.62 | 2.8 |
| 11 | @ ARI | 75% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.51 | 1.0 |
| 4 | vs JAX | 56% | 5 | 14% | 0 | 46 | 0 | 1.15 | 8.6 |
| 3 | vs ARI | 97% | 11 | 29% | 0 | 117 | 0 | 0.37 | 19.7 |
| 2 | @ NO | 89% | 6 | 16% | 1 | 52 | 0 | 0.52 | 9.2 |
| 1 | @ SEA | 84% | 7 | 21% | 0 | 108 | 0 | 0.72 | 14.8 |