Season2026·Week1
UpgradeLAC vs ARI · Week 1
WR24 yrsGeorgia16 games of history
Projection
11.6
Floor
5.4
Ceiling
21.0
Edge vs market
-2.7
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.2%
Spike rate
10%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs HOU | 89% | 2 | 6% |
Leverage
1.96×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 31 |
| 0 |
| 0.71 |
| 4.1 |
| 16 | @ DAL | 75% | 6 | 21% | 0 | 43 | 1 | 0.26 | 14.3 |
| 15 | @ KC | 74% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 20 | 0 | -1.00 | 4.0 |
| 14 | vs PHI | 86% | 5 | 22% | 0 | 12 | 0 | -0.26 | 2.2 |
| 13 | vs LV | 76% | 6 | 29% | 0 | 39 | 1 | -0.32 | 13.9 |
| 11 | @ JAX | 62% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 13 | 0 | -1.97 | 4.3 |
| 10 | vs PIT | 71% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 107 | 1 | 1.56 | 20.7 |
| 9 | @ TEN | 69% | 6 | 21% | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0.31 | 9.6 |
| 8 | vs MIN | 58% | 10 | 42% | 0 | 88 | 1 | -0.07 | 20.8 |
| 7 | vs IND | 88% | 15 | 28% | 0 | 67 | 0 | 0.11 | 15.7 |
| 6 | @ MIA | 69% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 100 | 1 | 0.65 | 23.0 |
| 5 | vs WAS | 79% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 39 | 1 | 0.18 | 14.9 |