Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCAR vs CHI · Week 1
WR25 yrsSouth Carolina15 games of history
Projection
7.5
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
15.3
Edge vs market
+1.9
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
1%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ TB | 31% | 4 | 13% |
0.46×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 22 |
| 0 |
| 0.07 |
| 5.2 |
| 17 | vs SEA | 55% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.19 | 1.3 |
| 16 | vs TB | 65% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 12 | 0 | -0.01 | 2.2 |
| 15 | @ NO | 74% | 3 | 15% | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0.95 | 5.9 |
| 13 | vs LA | 67% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0 | -0.40 | 1.1 |
| 12 | @ SF | 67% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0.14 | 5.2 |
| 11 | @ ATL | 55% | 8 | 18% | 0 | 83 | 1 | 0.87 | 18.3 |
| 10 | vs NO | 70% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.59 | 0.0 |
| 9 | @ GB | 55% | 3 | 16% | 0 | 22 | 0 | -1.39 | 3.2 |
| 8 | vs BUF | 89% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1.01 | 3.7 |
| 7 | @ NYJ | 80% | 11 | 35% | 0 | 92 | 1 | 0.31 | 24.2 |
| 6 | vs DAL | 73% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 11 | 0 | -0.08 | 3.1 |