Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYJ vs TEN · Week 1
WR23 yrsTexas16 games of history
Projection
9.3
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
19.4
Edge vs market
-0.6
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.7%
Spike rate
6%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ BUF | 52% | 3 | 14% |
Leverage
1.03×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| -0.80 |
| 0.0 |
| 17 | vs NE | 81% | 9 | 28% | 0 | 22 | 0 | -0.85 | 5.2 |
| 16 | @ NO | 86% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0.40 | 7.3 |
| 15 | @ JAX | 79% | 9 | 28% | 1 | 54 | 1 | 0.20 | 17.4 |
| 14 | vs MIA | 91% | 6 | 19% | 0 | 24 | 0 | -1.38 | 3.4 |
| 13 | vs ATL | 86% | 12 | 39% | 0 | 102 | 1 | 0.40 | 24.2 |
| 12 | @ BAL | 85% | 7 | 26% | 0 | 42 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.2 |
| 11 | @ NE | 49% | 6 | 23% | 0 | 10 | 0 | -0.41 | 2.0 |
| 9 | @ PIT | 5% | 1 | 2% | 0 | 7 | 0 | -0.16 | 1.7 |
| 8 | vs TEN | 17% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.90 | 0.0 |
| 7 | @ LAC | 8% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.27 | 1.8 |
| 5 | vs LV | 9% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.67 | 0.0 |