Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCHI vs CAR · Week 1
WR24 yrsWashington12 games of history
Projection
11.8
Floor
4.4
Ceiling
23.0
Edge vs market
-0.1
Confidence
88%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.3%
Spike rate
14%
Leverage
2.84×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | @ PHI | 80% | 6 | 19% | 0 | 8 | 0 | -0.40 | 2.8 |
| 12 | vs PIT | 78% | 9 | 30% | 0 | 53 | 0 | 0.05 | 8.3 |
| 11 | @ MIN | 76% | 6 | 21% | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0.38 | 6.1 |
| 10 | vs NYG | 78% | 10 | 28% | 0 | 86 | 1 | 0.50 | 20.6 |
| 9 | @ CIN | 100% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.0 |
| 8 | @ BAL | 94% | 10 | 29% | 0 | 114 | 0 | 0.58 | 18.4 |
| 7 | vs NO | 94% | 6 | 24% | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0.04 | 5.1 |
| 6 | @ WAS | 97% | 5 | 17% | 0 | 32 | 0 | -0.50 | 5.2 |
| 4 | @ LV | 76% | 8 | 22% | 0 | 69 | 1 | 0.01 | 16.9 |
| 3 | vs DAL | 90% | 7 | 25% | 0 | 62 | 1 | 0.37 | 15.2 |
| 2 | @ DET | 100% | 11 | 33% | 0 | 128 | 2 | 1.10 | 31.8 |
| 1 | vs MIN | 94% | 9 | 26% | 0 | 37 | 1 | -0.10 | 15.7 |