Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYJ vs TEN · Week 1
WR25 yrsIllinois15 games of history
Projection
7.8
Floor
4.1
Ceiling
13.5
Edge vs market
+3.2
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Leverage
0.04×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ BUF | 52% | 7 | 32% | 0 | 24 | 0 | -0.18 | 7.4 |
| 17 | vs NE | 69% | 5 | 16% | 1 | 35 | 0 | -0.37 | 7.5 |
| 16 | @ NO | 77% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0.26 | 6.5 |
| 15 | @ JAX | 60% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 53 | 0 | 0.75 | 11.3 |
| 14 | vs MIA | 57% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0.46 | 10.4 |
| 13 | vs ATL | 39% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.20 | 0.0 |
| 12 | @ BAL | 27% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |
| 11 | @ NE | 74% | 4 | 15% | 1 | 6 | 0 | -0.71 | 1.6 |
| 10 | vs CLE | 43% | 1 | 9% | 0 | 4 | 0 | -0.09 | 7.4 |
| 8 | @ CIN | 42% | 4 | 13% | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0.65 | 8.6 |
| 7 | vs CAR | 0% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |
| 6 | vs DEN | 0% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |