Season2026·Week1
UpgradeLV vs MIA · Week 1
TE23 yrsGeorgia12 games of history
Projection
16.1
Floor
8.3
Ceiling
28.1
Edge vs market
-1.7
Confidence
88%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.6%
Spike rate
55%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | @ HOU | 98% | 5 | 23% |
Leverage
6.84×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 33 |
| 1 |
| 0.85 |
| 14.3 |
| 15 | @ PHI | 90% | 8 | 32% | 0 | 28 | 0 | -0.53 | 8.8 |
| 14 | vs DEN | 100% | 5 | 18% | 0 | 46 | 1 | 0.26 | 14.6 |
| 13 | @ LAC | 98% | 4 | 18% | 0 | 63 | 2 | 2.05 | 22.3 |
| 12 | vs CLE | 96% | 9 | 21% | 0 | 55 | 0 | 0.02 | 11.5 |
| 11 | vs DAL | 97% | 12 | 31% | 0 | 72 | 0 | -0.46 | 14.2 |
| 10 | @ DEN | 83% | 3 | 12% | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0.04 | 3.7 |
| 9 | vs JAX | 81% | 13 | 34% | 1 | 133 | 3 | 0.94 | 43.3 |
| 4 | vs CHI | 77% | 6 | 30% | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0.30 | 9.6 |
| 3 | @ WAS | 83% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0.07 | 9.8 |
| 2 | vs LAC | 77% | 8 | 19% | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0.16 | 8.8 |
| 1 | @ NE | 51% | 8 | 24% | 0 | 103 | 0 | 0.14 | 15.3 |