Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSEA vs NE · Week 1
TE24 yrsMichigan17 games of history
Projection
11.8
Floor
6.6
Ceiling
19.8
Edge vs market
+0.5
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.0%
Spike rate
28%
Leverage
4.16×
Hits his ceiling 28% of the time at a projected 3.0% ownership — 4.16× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 3 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ SF | 61% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 14 | 0 | -0.24 | 3.4 |
| 17 | @ CAR | 79% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 43 | 1 | 2.01 | 13.3 |
| 16 | vs LA | 94% | 6 | 19% | 1 | 50 | 1 | 0.46 | 15.0 |
| 15 | vs IND | 83% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0.28 | 5.7 |
| 14 | @ ATL | 67% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0.48 | 5.7 |
| 13 | vs MIN | 85% | 5 | 22% | 1 | 37 | 0 | 0.83 | 7.7 |
| 12 | @ TEN | 79% | 4 | 16% | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.09 | 3.8 |
| 11 | @ LA | 87% | 11 | 26% | 2 | 71 | 0 | 0.29 | 17.1 |
| 10 | vs ARI | 37% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.45 | 0.3 |
| 9 | @ WAS | 84% | 4 | 17% | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0.66 | 11.5 |
| 7 | vs HOU | 86% | 3 | 10% | 1 | 9 | 0 | -0.76 | 1.9 |
| 6 | @ JAX | 78% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 71 | 0 | 1.52 | 10.1 |