Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYG vs DAL · Week 1
TE25 yrsPenn State15 games of history
Projection
11.5
Floor
6.5
Ceiling
19.0
Edge vs market
+1.5
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.2%
Spike rate
25%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | vs MIN | 96% | 2 | 15% |
Leverage
9.02×
Hits his ceiling 25% of the time at a projected 1.2% ownership — 9.02× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 9 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| -2.21 |
| 0.0 |
| 15 | vs WAS | 87% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0.85 | 10.2 |
| 13 | @ NE | 89% | 8 | 33% | 0 | 29 | 0 | -0.51 | 5.9 |
| 12 | @ DET | 78% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 77 | 0 | 0.61 | 10.7 |
| 11 | vs GB | 92% | 4 | 14% | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0.95 | 6.6 |
| 10 | @ CHI | 97% | 8 | 25% | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0.41 | 14.5 |
| 9 | vs SF | 86% | 6 | 19% | 0 | 27 | 1 | 0.07 | 11.7 |
| 8 | @ PHI | 98% | 4 | 18% | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0.54 | 5.0 |
| 7 | @ DEN | 88% | 7 | 21% | 0 | 66 | 1 | 0.17 | 15.6 |
| 6 | vs PHI | 90% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0.06 | 4.7 |
| 5 | @ NO | 82% | 7 | 18% | 0 | 33 | 2 | 0.27 | 21.3 |
| 4 | vs LAC | 70% | 5 | 25% | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0.15 | 10.7 |