Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCHI vs CAR · Week 1
QB24 yrsUSC17 games of history
Projection
13.0
Floor
6.9
Ceiling
22.2
Edge vs market
0.0
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.4%
Spike rate
4%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs DET | 100% | 0 | 0% |
0.53×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 1 |
| 213 |
| 2 |
| -0.06 |
| 16.6 |
| 17 | @ SF | 100% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 348 | 2 | 0.38 | 23.0 |
| 16 | vs GB | 100% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 280 | 2 | 0.24 | 21.0 |
| 15 | vs CLE | 100% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 255 | 2 | 0.10 | 19.0 |
| 14 | @ GB | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 201 | 2 | 0.04 | 14.9 |
| 13 | @ PHI | 100% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 167 | 1 | -0.10 | 9.5 |
| 12 | vs PIT | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 260 | 3 | 0.09 | 21.7 |
| 11 | @ MIN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 219 | 0 | -0.04 | 10.3 |
| 10 | vs NYG | 100% | 0 | 0% | 8 | 283 | 2 | -0.04 | 25.1 |
| 9 | @ CIN | 100% | 2 | 6% | 5 | 355 | 4 | 0.52 | 38.7 |
| 8 | @ BAL | 100% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 309 | 0 | 0.03 | 11.8 |
| 7 | vs NO | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 170 | 0 | -0.13 | 4.7 |