Season2026·Week1
UpgradeATL vs PIT · Week 1
QBQuestionable26 yrsWashington9 games of history
Projection
9.0
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
17.9
Edge vs market
+0.8
Confidence
80%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.2%
Spike rate
1%
Leverage
0.28×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | vs CAR | 62% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 184 | 0 | 0.69 | 7.9 |
| 10 | @ IND | 100% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 176 | 1 | -0.28 | 11.0 |
| 9 | @ NE | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 240 | 3 | 0.14 | 22.7 |
| 7 | @ SF | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 247 | 1 | -0.14 | 12.2 |
| 6 | vs BUF | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 256 | 1 | -0.00 | 14.6 |
| 4 | vs WAS | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 315 | 2 | 0.59 | 18.7 |
| 3 | @ CAR | 77% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 181 | 0 | -0.51 | 3.8 |
| 2 | @ MIN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 134 | 0 | -0.22 | 5.3 |
| 1 | vs TB | 100% | 0 | 0% | 6 | 319 | 2 | 0.32 | 24.0 |