Season2026·Week1
UpgradeDET vs NO · Week 1
TE25 yrsIowa9 games of history
Projection
14.1
Floor
8.1
Ceiling
23.2
Edge vs market
-2.0
Confidence
80%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.3%
Spike rate
44%
Leverage
8.62×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | @ WAS | 76% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 53 | 0 | 1.15 | 10.3 |
| 9 | vs MIN | 100% | 8 | 22% | 0 | 97 | 1 | 1.19 | 21.7 |
| 7 | vs TB | 97% | 3 | 11% | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0.37 | 4.5 |
| 6 | @ KC | 96% | 6 | 22% | 0 | 55 | 1 | 0.85 | 16.5 |
| 5 | @ CIN | 94% | 6 | 26% | 0 | 92 | 1 | 1.26 | 20.2 |
| 4 | vs CLE | 93% | 4 | 16% | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.9 |
| 3 | @ BAL | 84% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 33 | 0 | 1.10 | 7.3 |
| 2 | vs CHI | 85% | 4 | 14% | 0 | 26 | 0 | -0.05 | 5.6 |
| 1 | @ GB | 91% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0.24 | 13.9 |