Season2026·Week1
UpgradeARI vs LAC · Week 1
WR26 yrsStanford17 games of history
Projection
17.3
Floor
8.4
Ceiling
30.8
Edge vs market
+5.7
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
6.7%
Spike rate
38%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ LA | 93% | 8 | 29% |
Leverage
2.55×
Hits his ceiling 38% of the time at a projected 6.7% ownership — 2.55× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 29 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 99 |
| 1 |
| 0.60 |
| 20.9 |
| 17 | @ CIN | 86% | 10 | 29% | 0 | 89 | 1 | 0.44 | 19.9 |
| 16 | vs ATL | 86% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 52 | 1 | 0.50 | 13.2 |
| 15 | @ HOU | 85% | 11 | 29% | 0 | 54 | 1 | -0.49 | 16.4 |
| 14 | vs LA | 79% | 16 | 36% | 0 | 142 | 2 | 0.38 | 37.2 |
| 13 | @ TB | 93% | 7 | 19% | 0 | 36 | 0 | -1.20 | 6.6 |
| 12 | vs JAX | 82% | 15 | 33% | 0 | 118 | 0 | 0.13 | 21.8 |
| 11 | vs SF | 82% | 18 | 32% | 0 | 185 | 0 | 0.54 | 33.5 |
| 10 | @ SEA | 92% | 7 | 16% | 0 | 34 | 0 | -0.01 | 7.4 |
| 9 | @ DAL | 72% | 4 | 14% | 0 | 61 | 0 | 0.97 | 9.1 |
| 7 | vs GB | 82% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0.61 | 7.0 |
| 6 | @ IND | 75% | 5 | 13% | 0 | 44 | 0 | 0.30 | 8.4 |