Season2026·Week1
UpgradeKC vs DEN · Week 1
WR26 yrsSMU8 games of history
Projection
15.8
Floor
8.2
Ceiling
27.4
Edge vs market
+0.5
Confidence
76%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
5.3%
Spike rate
30%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | vs LAC | 85% | 11 | 37% |
Leverage
2.52×
Hits his ceiling 30% of the time at a projected 5.3% ownership — 2.52× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 1 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 51 |
| 0 |
| -0.06 |
| 12.1 |
| 14 | vs HOU | 78% | 8 | 28% | 0 | 34 | 0 | -1.08 | 7.4 |
| 13 | @ DAL | 89% | 12 | 38% | 1 | 94 | 2 | 0.24 | 29.4 |
| 12 | vs IND | 62% | 12 | 28% | 0 | 141 | 0 | 0.47 | 24.1 |
| 11 | @ DEN | 76% | 9 | 21% | 0 | 38 | 0 | -0.03 | 9.8 |
| 9 | @ BUF | 82% | 7 | 24% | 2 | 86 | 1 | 0.67 | 18.6 |
| 8 | vs WAS | 86% | 9 | 28% | 2 | 105 | 1 | 0.75 | 25.5 |
| 7 | vs LV | 41% | 10 | 29% | 0 | 42 | 2 | 0.44 | 23.2 |