Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCIN vs TB · Week 1
WR26 yrsPrinceton15 games of history
Projection
8.7
Floor
4.6
Ceiling
15.0
Edge vs market
+3.0
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.5%
Spike rate
0%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs CLE | 53% | 3 | 8% |
Leverage
0.14×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| -0.08 |
| 3.0 |
| 17 | vs ARI | 70% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0.21 | 8.1 |
| 16 | @ MIA | 51% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 21 | 0 | 1.57 | 3.1 |
| 15 | vs BAL | 89% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.0 |
| 14 | @ BUF | 65% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.45 | 3.7 |
| 13 | @ BAL | 94% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 29 | 1 | 1.20 | 9.9 |
| 12 | vs NE | 83% | 7 | 21% | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0.28 | 10.6 |
| 11 | @ PIT | 74% | 4 | 10% | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0.69 | 5.0 |
| 9 | vs CHI | 84% | 7 | 16% | 1 | 70 | 1 | 0.67 | 18.0 |
| 8 | vs NYJ | 80% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.94 | 0.0 |
| 7 | vs PIT | 70% | 4 | 9% | 0 | 49 | 0 | 0.55 | 7.9 |
| 6 | @ GB | 94% | 4 | 10% | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.46 | 1.5 |