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The Sports Desk
Season2026·Week1
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Player Board

NO vs DET · Week 1

Ronnie Bell

WR26 yrsMichigan2 games of history

Projection

6.0

PPR points

Floor

0.1

~15th pct

Ceiling

15.1

~90th pct

Edge vs market

+1.6

market 4.5

Confidence

32%

σ ±6.2

Medallion engine

Why the model has him here

Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.

Contra engine

Ownership read

consensus

Proj. ownership

1.0%

Spike rate

1%

Game log

Last 2 games (2025)

WkOppSnap%TgtTgt ShCarYdsTDEPA/pPPR
18@ ATL53%412%

Leverage

0.55×

Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.

Contra score59
Fade score24

Standardized factors

Where he sits in his position cohort

Availability
-1.6σ
TD Rate
+1.1σ
Momentum
+0.7σ
Pass-Rate Context
+0.7σ
Snap Share
-0.5σ
Target Share
-0.5σ
Opportunity
-0.4σ
Yards / Opportunity
-0.4σ
0
23
1
0.30
10.3
17@ TEN4%00%000—0.0
Wire
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